GGOALVIO

São José EC logoSão José ECvsSão Caetano logoSão Caetano

SCHEDULED

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São José EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

São José EC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while São Caetano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and são José EC hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring São José EC with 21.1% confidence, a 21% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São José EC

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

21.1%

São José EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São José ECWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
São CaetanoLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
São José ECSão Caetano
56.3Attack13.3
75.0Defence53.3
70.8Form13.3
68.4Power29.6
1.90xG0.28
View match centre →