São João Vervs
AD Marco 09
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São João Ver · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: São João Ver 0-0 AD Marco 09, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
São João Ver 0-0 AD Marco 09
Original prediction
São João Ver
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.5% | 41.8% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.5% | 30.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.0% | 28.2% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
São João Ver 0–0 AD Marco 09
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
São João Ver
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
São João Ver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
São João VerLLDDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AD Marco 09WLWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
São João VerAD Marco 09
45.2Attack27.4
48.8Defence63.1
41.7Form39.3
46.9Power46.1
1.08xG0.76