Copa RioCopa Rio
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 12:39
São Gonçalo EC RJ

São Gonçalo EC RJ

Home
W
21
Full time
Volta Redonda

Volta Redonda

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
São Gonçalo EC RJ(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: São Gonçalo EC RJ
Win probability
São Gonçalo EC RJ
39%
Draw
25%
Volta Redonda
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
São Gonçalo EC RJ
73
Volta Redonda
34
Defence
São Gonçalo EC RJ
66
Volta Redonda
27
Momentum
São Gonçalo EC RJ
100
Volta Redonda
0
Danger (xG)
São Gonçalo EC RJ
1.80
Volta Redonda
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (São Gonçalo EC RJ)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Volta Redonda)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (São Gonçalo EC RJ)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Volta Redonda)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
São Gonçalo EC RJSão Gonçalo EC RJ
WDL
Volta RedondaVolta Redonda
LDLWL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
São Gonçalo EC RJ39%
Draw25%
Volta Redonda37%

São Gonçalo EC RJ leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

São Gonçalo EC RJ head into this in Copa Rio fixture in mixed form (W), while Volta Redonda arrive in mixed form (L). São Gonçalo EC RJ have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Volta Redonda over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. São Gonçalo EC RJ's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Volta Redonda defence (27/100), while Volta Redonda's attack is up against a solid São Gonçalo EC RJ backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in São Gonçalo EC RJ's favour.

São Gonçalo EC RJ have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Volta Redonda have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 4 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per away game.

São Gonçalo EC RJ have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects São Gonçalo EC RJ to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: São Gonçalo EC RJ 3857%, Draw 2473%, Volta Redonda 3670%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

São Gonçalo EC RJ 1Draws 00 Volta Redonda
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
São Gonçalo EC RJ
W21
Volta Redonda

Recent form

São Gonçalo EC RJ

São Gonçalo EC RJ

W
vs Volta Redonda
16 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Resende
16 May 2026
11
L
@ CFRJ / Maricá
13 May 2026
01
Volta Redonda

Volta Redonda

L
@ São Gonçalo EC RJ
16 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Figueirense
14 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Maringá
4 Jul 2026
04
W
vs Amazonas
1 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Santa Cruz
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win São Gonçalo EC RJ vs Volta Redonda?

GoalVio's model predicts São Gonçalo EC RJ to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for São Gonçalo EC RJ vs Volta Redonda?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in São Gonçalo EC RJ vs Volta Redonda?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in São Gonçalo EC RJ vs Volta Redonda?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more