GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/25/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

São Gonçalo EC RJ are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Goytacaz are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Goytacaz hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Carioca - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São Gonçalo EC RJWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
GoytacazDDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
São Gonçalo EC RJGoytacaz
39.4Attack43.6
63.6Defence64.1
36.4Form53.8
47.4Power56.0
0.88xG0.90
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