GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santo André · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

São Caetano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santo André are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Caetano hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (29.6 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Copa Paulista, while Santo André holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santo André

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

20.3%

Santo André has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São CaetanoLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Santo AndréLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
São CaetanoSanto André
13.3Attack0.0
53.3Defence16.7
13.3Form0.0
29.6Power11.2
0.73xG0.93
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