São Caetanovs
Primavera SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primavera SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: São Caetano 0-1 Primavera SP, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
São Caetano 0-5 Primavera SP
Original prediction
Primavera SP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.62 | 16.1% | 21.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 28.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.5% | 50.3% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Projected Score
São Caetano 0–1 Primavera SP
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Primavera SP
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Primavera SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
São CaetanoDLLLD
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Primavera SPLWDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
São CaetanoPrimavera SP
11.1Attack44.4
50.0Defence66.7
11.1Form55.6
27.6Power57.8
0.66xG1.23