São Caetano U20vs
Oeste U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oeste U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
São Caetano U20 1-2 Oeste U20
Original prediction
Oeste U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 27.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 26.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.9% | 45.7% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Oeste U20
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Oeste U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40