GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

São Bernardo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Operario-PR are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 54.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Serie B, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Bernardo

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

14.0%

São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São BernardoDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Operario-PRWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
São BernardoOperario-PR
49.2Attack46.0
61.9Defence55.6
47.6Form55.6
54.3Power54.2
1.40xG0.97
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