São Bernardovs
Londrina
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
São Bernardo 1-2 Londrina
Original prediction
São Bernardo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.9% | 56.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.0% | 24.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 19.1% | 18.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
São Bernardo
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20