São Bernardovs
CRB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/2/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
São Bernardo 3-1 CRB
Original prediction
São Bernardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 32.3% | 42.5% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 27.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.9% | 30.5% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
São Bernardo
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20