
São Bernardo
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São Bernardo leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
São Bernardo head into this in Serie B fixture at Estadio Primeiro de Maio in mixed form (DD), while Ceara arrive in mixed form (DDL). São Bernardo have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Ceara over 3 games.
The model rates São Bernardo's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 Ceara defence, and Ceara's attack at 14/100 against a 46/100 São Bernardo backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
São Bernardo have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 4 home games. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match. Ceara have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.
São Bernardo have generated 0.73 xG per game recently while conceding 0.21 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Ceara have generated 0.67 xG per game recently while conceding 1.30 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between São Bernardo and Ceara in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects São Bernardo to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: São Bernardo 4463%, Draw 3063%, Ceara 2474%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Recent form
São Bernardo
Ceara
Frequently asked questions
Who will win São Bernardo vs Ceara?
GoalVio's model predicts São Bernardo to win with 45% confidence.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Ceara?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in São Bernardo vs Ceara?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in São Bernardo vs Ceara?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.