GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 2/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

São Bernardo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Copa Do Brasil, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Bernardo

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

14.9%

São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São BernardoDWLDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Atlético AlagoinhasLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
São BernardoAtlético Alagoinhas
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power15.3
1.41xG0.76
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