São Bernardovs
Atletico Goianiense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: São Bernardo 0-0 Atletico Goianiense, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
São Bernardo 1-0 Atletico Goianiense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.4% | 36.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.9% | 30.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.7% | 33.7% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
São Bernardo 0–0 Atletico Goianiense
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
São BernardoWLWLD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico GoianienseWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
São BernardoAtletico Goianiense
46.4Attack42.9
63.1Defence69.0
45.2Form54.8
52.9Power57.1
0.91xG0.88