Smouha SCvs
Ghazl El Mehalla
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smouha SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Smouha SC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Smouha SC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla
Original prediction
Smouha SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.0% | 45.1% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.56 | 35.5% | 31.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.4% | 23.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Smouha SC 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Smouha SC
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Smouha SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Smouha SCWLLDL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ghazl El MehallaDLLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
6.7Attack6.7
73.3Defence40.0
26.7Form6.7
38.6Power22.3
1.14xG0.59