GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 10/5/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Smouha SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Smouha SC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while El Mokawloon are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Smouha SC hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Premier League, while Smouha SC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Smouha SC

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Smouha SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Smouha SCWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
El MokawloonDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Smouha SCEl Mokawloon
38.2Attack31.4
65.7Defence44.1
52.9Form25.5
54.0Power36.5
1.46xG0.56
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