Smouha SCvs
Ceramica Cleopatra
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 9/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ceramica Cleopatra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Smouha SC 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Smouha SC 0-2 Ceramica Cleopatra
Original prediction
Ceramica Cleopatra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.8% | 31.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.6% | 39.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Smouha SC 0–0 Ceramica Cleopatra
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ceramica Cleopatra
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Ceramica Cleopatra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00