GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 8/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Smouha SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Smouha SC 0-0 Asyut Petrol, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Smouha SC 0-0 Asyut Petrol

Original prediction

Smouha SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5957.4%40.3%-17.1 pts
Draw3.2628.0%30.0%2.0 pts
Away6.2614.6%29.6%15.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.1 pts

Projected Score

Smouha SC 0–0 Asyut Petrol

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Smouha SC

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Smouha SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Smouha SCLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Asyut PetrolDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Smouha SCAsyut Petrol
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
0.98xG0.98
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