Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Smorgon 1-0 Niva
Original prediction
Niva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SmorgonLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NivaWWLWW
GF 20 · GA 9 · avg 4.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SmorgonNiva
37.0Attack75.9
46.3Defence63.0
31.5Form66.7
39.4Power67.4
0.82xG2.46