GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/7/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Isloch Minsk R. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Smorgon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Isloch Minsk R. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Isloch Minsk R. hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (34.6 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.6% in the Premier League, while FC Isloch Minsk R. holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Isloch Minsk R.

Probability

76.6%

Model confidence

76.6%

FC Isloch Minsk R. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SmorgonLDWDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC Isloch Minsk R.WDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SmorgonFC Isloch Minsk R.
35.7Attack62.2
31.0Defence71.1
29.8Form68.9
34.6Power67.9
0.60xG2.59
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