Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skanste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Smiltene are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Skanste are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Skanste hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (26.5 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the 1. Liga, while Skanste holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skanste
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Skanste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50