Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Smedby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rågsved are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.8 against 58.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20