Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Smedby are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Lindo FF are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Smedby hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 16 · avg 3.80/3.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00