Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Smedby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Forward are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20