Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sámano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sámano 2-0 Velarde
Original prediction
Sámano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sámano
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Sámano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SámanoLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 20 · avg 0.40/4.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
VelardeNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SámanoVelarde
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24