Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smail · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Smail 1-0 Saham
Original prediction
Smail
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.4% | 35.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.0% | 28.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.6% | 35.2% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Smail
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Smail has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SmailNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SahamNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SmailSaham
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24