Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dhofar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Smail 5-5 Dhofar
Original prediction
Dhofar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 19:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 19.8% | 28.0% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 28.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.2% | 43.6% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Dhofar
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Dhofar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SmailLDLWL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DhofarWDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SmailDhofar
16.7Attack55.6
16.7Defence55.6
0.0Form66.7
18.3Power59.7
1.20xG1.73