Slávia TU Košicevs
Spartak Medzev
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 9/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Medzev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slávia TU Košice 6-2 Spartak Medzev
Original prediction
Spartak Medzev
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.6% | 24.1% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.3% | 20.6% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.1% | 55.3% | 23.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Medzev
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Spartak Medzev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00