Sölvesborgvs
Lilla Torg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sölvesborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sölvesborg 1-1 Lilla Torg
Original prediction
Sölvesborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.5% | 43.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 22.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.7% | 34.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sölvesborg
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Sölvesborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00