Sölvesborgvs
Berga
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sölvesborg 3-2 Berga
Original prediction
Berga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.2% | 26.3% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 19.7% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.1% | 54.0% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00