Slovenia Wvs
Turkey W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turkey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovenia W 2-0 Turkey W
Original prediction
Turkey W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 32.0% | -26.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 24.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.6% | 43.3% | 25.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Turkey W
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Turkey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60