Slovenia U21vs
Netherlands U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Netherlands U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovenia U21 2-4 Netherlands U21
Original prediction
Netherlands U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.49 | 10.8% | 23.7% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.8% | 24.3% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 71.4% | 52.0% | -19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Netherlands U21
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Netherlands U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40