Slovenia U21vs
Israel U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Slovenia U21 0-0 Israel U21, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovenia U21 2-3 Israel U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.7% | 33.1% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 31.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.6% | 35.5% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Slovenia U21 0–0 Israel U21
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Slovenia U21DWDLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Israel U21DWWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Slovenia U21Israel U21
36.7Attack55.6
76.7Defence69.4
53.3Form58.3
57.0Power61.5
0.72xG0.87