Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovácko · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovácko 0-0 Pardubice
Original prediction
Slovácko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 39.1% | 40.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.2% | 27.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.8% | 32.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Slovácko
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Slovácko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SlováckoDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PardubiceLWLDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SlováckoPardubice
27.8Attack27.8
33.3Defence33.3
11.1Form5.6
27.0Power26.1
1.37xG1.15