Slováckovs
Baník Ostrava
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovácko · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovácko 2-2 Baník Ostrava
Original prediction
Slovácko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.8% | 39.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.7% | 28.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.6% | 32.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Slovácko
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Slovácko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80