Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Slovácko II

Slovácko II

Home
L
21
Full time
Zlín II

Zlín II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Zlín II33%
Slovácko II33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Slovácko II
33%
Draw
33%
Zlín II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Slovácko II
34
Zlín II
73
Defence
Slovácko II
0
Zlín II
91
Momentum
Slovácko II
0
Zlín II
100
Danger (xG)
Slovácko II
0.90
Zlín II
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.05 xG for Slovácko II and 1.68 xG for Zlín II — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.37), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.73 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Slovácko II)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Zlín II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Slovácko II)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Zlín II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Slovácko IISlovácko II
LL
Zlín IIZlín II
WL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Slovácko II33%
Draw33%
Zlín II33%

Zlín II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Slovácko II vs Zlín II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Slovácko II host Zlín II in Friendlies Clubs. Slovácko II have recorded DWLDLW in recent matches while Zlín II arrive with a run of DLWLWL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.05 for Slovácko II and 1.68 for Zlín II. The gap of 0.37 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Slovácko II

Slovácko II

L
@ Vítkovice
11 Jun 2026
15
L
@ Vrchovina
16 May 2026
13
Zlín II

Zlín II

W
@ Polanka nad Odrou
10 Jun 2026
20
L
@ Hranice
15 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slovácko II vs Zlín II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slovácko II vs Zlín II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Slovácko II vs Zlín II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slovácko II vs Zlín II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more