Slovácko IIvs
Karviná II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/13/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovácko II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovácko II 3-1 Karviná II
Original prediction
Slovácko II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.7% | 51.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 24.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 21.2% | 24.0% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Slovácko II
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Slovácko II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40