CupCup
Saturday, 1 August 202616:00Updated today
Slovan Velvary

Slovan Velvary

Home
L
vs
16:00
Brandýs nad Labem

Brandýs nad Labem

Away
D
Football pitch Velvary
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Brandýs nad Labem(43%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Slovan Velvary
34%
Draw
23%
Brandýs nad Labem
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Slovan Velvary
9
Brandýs nad Labem
9
Defence
Slovan Velvary
66
Brandýs nad Labem
91
Momentum
Slovan Velvary
0
Brandýs nad Labem
33
Danger (xG)
Slovan Velvary
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.76 xG for Slovan Velvary and 2.08 xG for Brandýs nad Labem — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.32), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.84 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Slovan Velvary)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Brandýs nad Labem)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Slovan Velvary)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Brandýs nad Labem)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Slovan VelvarySlovan Velvary
L
Brandýs nad LabemBrandýs nad Labem
D

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Slovan Velvary34%
Draw23%
Brandýs nad Labem43%

Brandýs nad Labem leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Brandýs nad Labem Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Slovan Velvary host Brandýs nad Labem in Cup. Slovan Velvary have recorded LDLLLD in recent matches while Brandýs nad Labem arrive with a run of DLDWLL.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.08 expected goals for Brandýs nad Labem against 1.76 for Slovan Velvary — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Slovan Velvary have averaged 0.77 goals per game recently while Brandýs nad Labem have managed 2.01. Brandýs nad Labem have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Brandýs nad Labem win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Slovan Velvary have won 0 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Brandýs nad Labem carry the stronger underlying metrics, Slovan Velvary's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Brandýs nad Labem hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Brandýs nad Labem.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Brandýs nad Labem, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Slovan Velvary score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Brandýs nad Labem have been conceding 2.55 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.32 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Slovan Velvary

Slovan Velvary

L
@ Mladá Boleslav II
16 May 2026
01
Brandýs nad Labem

Brandýs nad Labem

D
vs Turnov
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slovan Velvary vs Brandýs nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts Brandýs nad Labem to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slovan Velvary vs Brandýs nad Labem?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Slovan Velvary vs Brandýs nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slovan Velvary vs Brandýs nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more