Slovan Ljubljanavs
Ilirija
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilirija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Ljubljana 2-1 Ilirija
Original prediction
Ilirija
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.3% | 26.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 26.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.4% | 46.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Ilirija
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Ilirija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Slovan LjubljanaWWLLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IlirijaWWWLL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Slovan LjubljanaIlirija
35.6Attack66.7
42.2Defence100.0
35.6Form100.0
40.0Power88.7
0.94xG1.85