Slovan Ljubljanavs
Dren Vrhnika
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dren Vrhnika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Ljubljana 0-0 Dren Vrhnika
Original prediction
Dren Vrhnika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.6% | 27.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 26.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.5% | 46.2% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Dren Vrhnika
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Dren Vrhnika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20