Slovan Ljubljanavs
Brežice
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovan Ljubljana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Ljubljana 1-0 Brežice
Original prediction
Slovan Ljubljana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.4% | 36.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 29.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.7% | 34.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Slovan Ljubljana
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Slovan Ljubljana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40