Slovan Ljubljanavs
Bistrica
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bistrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Bistrica
Original prediction
Bistrica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 30.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.7% | 42.3% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bistrica
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Bistrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40