Slovan Liberecvs
Mlada Boleslav
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovan Liberec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Liberec 3-0 Mlada Boleslav
Original prediction
Slovan Liberec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.8% | 41.2% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.4% | 26.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.8% | 32.6% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Slovan Liberec
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Slovan Liberec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40