Slovan Bratislavavs
VfB Stuttgart
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart
Original prediction
VfB Stuttgart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.88 | 12.1% | 29.6% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.59 | 17.1% | 24.9% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 70.9% | 45.5% | -25.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
VfB Stuttgart
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60