Slovakia Wvs
Ukraine W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovakia W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovakia W 1-3 Ukraine W
Original prediction
Slovakia W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.0% | 41.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 27.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 30.8% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Slovakia W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Slovakia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60