Slovakia U21vs
Republic of Ireland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Republic of Ireland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovakia U21 0-2 Republic of Ireland U21
Original prediction
Republic of Ireland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.0% | 36.2% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 24.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.7% | 38.9% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Republic of Ireland U21
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Republic of Ireland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40