Slovakia U19vs
Poland U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poland U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slovakia U19 1-2 Poland U19
Original prediction
Poland U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 21.8% | 33.2% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 27.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 52.6% | 39.3% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Poland U19
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Poland U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40