Slough Townvs
Horsham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slough Town 1-2 Horsham
Original prediction
Horsham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.64 | 24.9% | 19.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 23.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.3% | 56.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60