Slough Townvs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hemel Hempstead Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slough Town 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Hemel Hempstead Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 25.9% | 26.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.5% | 26.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.6% | 46.4% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Hemel Hempstead Town
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00