Slough Townvs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slough Town 1-1 Ebbsfleet United
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.39 | 16.8% | 18.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.6% | 21.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.6% | 60.1% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60