Slough Townvs
Dorking Wanderers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slough Town 1-3 Dorking Wanderers
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.84 | 23.8% | 23.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 23.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.2% | 53.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20